As we pass Memorial Day, the Summer solstice and Independence Day, the dog days of summer are upon us. We’ve also had more consecutive days with rain than many of us can remember. But even if drought fears have receded a bit, sales of luxury homes in Durham have been sparse and July and August are not typically strong months even in the best of times.
Last year in the second quarter 15 homes in the $700,000+ category where sold in Durham. This year it was 7 and the dollar volume was down 49% from $14.7M to $7.5M. Since there were 11 sales in the first quarter, the year-to-date comparisons are not so dramatic; 21 sales in 2007 compared with 18 this year and dollar volumn down just 18.8%.
Both Orange and Wake Counties saw significant drops in the sales of luxury homes in the same pattern. There are two differences, however, between Durham and the other two markets. The first is that Durham listings in this luxury category represent only 8.4% of the homes while it has over 17% of the total listings in the three counties. Second, it had only 4% of the sales in this category in the second quarter. With 86 homes on the market there is enough inventory to satisfy the demand for more than the next two and a half years.
These statistics shouldn’t surprise anyone in the real estate community that has been following the luxury market in Durham for the last several years. What does surprise me is that there doesn’t seem to be any change in the marketing practices employed by the listing agents that are active in this segment in Durham. Durham is undergoing a revival led by events downtown many of which have been mentioned in posts on this site. The quality of the luxury housing stock as well as convenience to shopping, entertainment and the major employment centers, in most cases is as good or better than anything in Wake or Orange counties. The difference is that Durham is dealing with an out-of-date image that holds back sales. Sooner or later that image will catch up with the facts on the ground and the market will improve. Listing agents that market the entire experience of living in Durham and not just the bricks and mortar of their listings will be the first to benefit and help move the whole market forward.
From a marketing perspective the long term solution is to do a better job of promoting Durham and its unique and growing list of assets. The Newcomer’s Guide to Buying Luxury Real Estate in Durham available through the link in the sidebar is my attempt to provide one arrow in the quiver necessary for this effort. It may be a little too personal to plagiarize verbatim but I hope every agent who lists in this market creates something similar or an improvement upon it and distributes it widely.
However, market share and long term strategies to promote Durham’s renaissance are irrelevant to the family with a home currently on the market. There are strategies that are not widely applied today that break with tradition as well as employ new technology to better position and promote a listing. The other report available on the sidebar, The Durham Luxury Home Report 2008, describes some of the details about how to do this. Both reports are offered with no obligation.
